Elections in Michigan |
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The 2024 United States Senate election in Michigan will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect a Class I member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Michigan. It will be held concurrently with the 2024 United States presidential election, other elections to the United States Senate, other elections to the United States House of Representatives, and various state and local elections. Primary elections will take place on August 6, 2024.[1]
Incumbent Democratic Senator Debbie Stabenow was first elected in 2000, defeating incumbent Republican Spencer Abraham. Stabenow was most recently re-elected in 2018 with 52.3% of the vote, and announced on January 5, 2023 that she would not seek a fifth term in office. This will be the first open race for this seat since 1994, which was the only time since 1972 that Republicans won a Michigan U.S. Senate race.[2][3]
Background
A swing state, Michigan is considered to be a purple to slightly blue state at the federal level, with Joe Biden carrying Michigan by 2.8 percentage points at the 2020 presidential election. However, Democrats have seen much more success in recent years in the state. Democrats currently control both U.S. Senate seats, seven of 13 of the U.S. House congressional delegation, the minimum majority in both houses of the Michigan Legislature, and all statewide offices.[4]
This race is considered to be competitive given the state's nearly even partisan lean and that there is no incumbent; however, most analysts consider the race leaning towards the Democrats.[5] In-fighting among Michigan Republicans after the 2022 elections left the state party poor in funding for the U.S. Senate race[6][7][8][9][10][11][12][13] and defaulting on a bank loan.[14][15] The MIGOP also failed to meet campaign finance reporting deadlines.[16]
Democratic primary
Campaign
Elissa Slotkin has led the field in fundraising with nearly $16 million raised as of April 2024.[17][18][19] Nearly $6 million for her Senate campaign came before August 2023.[20] Brisk fundraising continued and she led fundraising on the Democratic side through the first quarter of 2024 with contributions totaling $4.3 million.[21]
Slotkin released the first TV ad of the primary campaign on May 28th which focused on her work in national security in the George W. Bush and Obama administrations.[22]
Campaign contribution allegations
In November 2023, Hill Harper claimed that he had been offered $20 million in campaign contributions from former Motown Motion Picture Studios owner Linden Nelson if he would drop of the Senate race to mount a primary challenge against U.S. Representative Rashida Tlaib.[23][24][25] The allegation was denied by Nelson.[23][26] Nasser Beydoun subsequently also alleged that former Michigan Democratic Party chair Lon Johnson had approached him with an identical offer to drop out of the Senate race and primary Tlaib. Johnson denied the claims, saying, "that's just crazy. I didn't offer him $20 million, or any other amount of money, to run against Rashida. That's insane."[27] Beydoun was later disqualified from the ballot.[28]
Candidates
Declared
- Hill Harper, actor and former member of the President's Cancer Panel[29]
- Elissa Slotkin, U.S. representative for Michigan's 7th congressional district (2019–present)[30]
Disqualified
- Nasser Beydoun, businessman and former executive director of the Arab American Chamber of Commerce[28] (endorsed Harper)[31]
Withdrawn
- Zack Burns, attorney and scientist[32]
- Leslie Love, former member of the Michigan Natural Resources Commission (2022–2023) and former state representative for the 10th district (2014–2020)[33]
- Pamela Pugh, president of the Michigan State Board of Education (2015–present) (running for U.S. House)[34]
Declined
- Jocelyn Benson, Michigan Secretary of State (2019–present)[35]
- Pete Buttigieg, U.S. Secretary of Transportation (2021–present), former mayor of South Bend, Indiana (2012–2020), and candidate for President of the United States in 2020[36][37]
- Debbie Dingell, U.S. representative for Michigan's 6th congressional district (2015–present)[38] (running for re-election)[39]
- Mike Duggan, Mayor of Detroit (2014–present)[40]
- Abdul El-Sayed, CNN contributor, former executive director of the Detroit Department of Health and Wellness Promotion, and candidate for Governor of Michigan in 2018[41]
- Garlin Gilchrist, Lieutenant Governor of Michigan (2019–present)[42]
- Dan Kildee, U.S. representative for Michigan's 8th congressional district (2013–present)[43] (endorsed Slotkin)[44]
- Andy Levin, former U.S. representative for Michigan's 9th congressional district (2019–2023)[43]
- Karen McDonald, Oakland County Prosecutor (2021–present)[45]
- Mallory McMorrow, state senator for the 8th district (2019–present)[46] (endorsed Slotkin)
- Dana Nessel, Michigan Attorney General (2019–present)[47]
- Hillary Scholten, U.S. representative for Michigan's 3rd congressional district (2023–present)[48] (running for re-election, endorsed Slotkin)[49][50]
- Debbie Stabenow, incumbent U.S. senator (2001–present)[51]
- Haley Stevens, U.S. representative for Michigan's 11th congressional district (2019–present)[52] (running for re-election, endorsed Slotkin)[39][53]
- Shri Thanedar, U.S. representative for Michigan's 13th congressional district (2023–present)[54] (running for re-election)[55]
- Gretchen Whitmer, Governor of Michigan (2019–present)[40]
Endorsements
- U.S. representatives
- Brenda Lawrence, former U.S. representative from MI-14 (2015–2023)[56]
- State legislators
- Tyrone Carter, state representative from the 6th district (2019–present)[57]
- Stephanie Young, state representative from the 8th district (2021–present)[57]
- Local officials
- Jerry Clayton, Washtenaw County Sheriff (2008–present)[58]
- Warren Evans, Wayne County Executive (2015–present)[59]
- Individuals
- Nasser Beydoun, businessman and former candidate for this seat[31]
- Dave Chappelle, comedian[60]
- John Drew Sheard Sr., Presiding Bishop of the Church of God in Christ (2021–present)[61]
- Organizations
- Church of God in Christ Michigan/Canadian Council of Bishops PAC[61]
- Michigan Democratic Party Black Caucus[62]
- Labor unions
- American Postal Workers Union Detroit District Area Local 295[63]
- IATSE Local 26[64]
- Statewide elected officials
- James Blanchard, former governor of Michigan (1983–1991)[65]
- U.S. representatives
- Gabby Giffords, former U.S. representative from AZ-8 (2007–2012)[66]
- Dan Kildee, U.S. representative for Michigan's 8th congressional district (2013–present)[44]
- Jamie Raskin, U.S. representative from MD-8 (2017–present)[67]
- Hillary Scholten, U.S. representative from MI-3 (2023–present)[50]
- Mikie Sherrill, U.S. representative from NJ-11 (2019–present)[68]
- Haley Stevens, U.S. representative from MI-11 (2019–present)[53]
- State cabinet officials
- Randy Watkins, former Senior Investigator of the Michigan Office of Financial and Insurance Regulation (1979–2010)[69]
- State legislators
- Sarah Anthony, state senator from the 21st district (2023–present)[69]
- Rosemary Bayer, state senator from the 13th district (2023–present)[53]
- Winnie Brinks, Majority Leader of the Michigan Senate (2023–present) from the 29th district (2019–present)[70]
- Jeremy Moss, state senator from the 7th district (2023–present)[53]
- 9 state representatives[69]
- Local officials
- Dave Bing, former mayor of Detroit (2009–2014)[71]
- Barbara Byrum, Ingham County Clerk (2013–present) and former state representative from 67th district (2007–2012)[69]
- David Coulter, Oakland County Executive (2019–present)[53]
- Tim Greimel, mayor of Pontiac (2021–present) and former state representative from 29th district (2012–2019)[53]
- Andy Meisner, former Oakland County Treasurer (2009–2021) and former state representative from 27th district (2003–2009)[53]
- Andy Schor, mayor of Lansing (2018–present) and former state representative from 68th district (2013–2018)[69]
- Robert Wittenberg, Oakland County Treasurer (2021–present) and former state representative from 27th district (2015–2021)[53]
- Individuals
- Jon Horford, NBA basketball player[69]
- Organizations
- Brady PAC[72]
- EMILY's List[73]
- End Citizens United[74]
- Feminist Majority PAC[75]
- Giffords[76]
- Jewish Democratic Council of America[77]
- Joint Action Committee for Political Affairs[78]
- League of Conservation Voters[79]
- Let America Vote[74]
- National Women's Political Caucus[80]
- Planned Parenthood Action Fund[81]
- Reproductive Freedom for All[82]
- VoteVets[83]
- Labor unions
- Amalgamated Transit Union[84]
- International Association of Bridge, Structural, Ornamental and Reinforcing Iron Workers[84]
- International Association of Fire Fighters Michigan Professional Union and Local 412[84]
- International Association of Machinists and Aerospace Workers Michigan State Council[84]
- International Association of Sheet Metal, Air, Rail and Transportation Workers[84]
- International Brotherhood of Electrical Workers Michigan State Council[84]
- International Union of Bricklayers and Allied Craftworkers[84]
- International Union of Operating Engineers Local 324[84]
- International Union of Painters and Allied Trades[84]
- Laborers’ International Union of North America[84]
- Michigan Education Association[85]
- Michigan Building Trades Council[84]
- Michigan Pipe Trades Association[84]
- National Education Association[86]
- United Steelworkers District Council 1[84]
- Utility Workers Union of America[84]
- Organizations
- Local officials
- Karen Weaver, former mayor of Flint (2015–2019)[88]
- Presidents
- Barack Obama, former president of the United States (2009–2017)[89]
- U.S. senators
- Debbie Stabenow, incumbent U.S. senator from Michigan (2001–present)[90]
- Labor unions
Fundraising
Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2024 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Nasser Beydoun (D)[a] | $855,335 | $678,582 | $148,721 |
Hill Harper (D) | $2,037,766[b] | $1,596,454 | $441,312 |
Leslie Love (D)[c] | $23,395 | $17,017 | $17,017 |
Pamela Pugh (D)[c] | $90,638 | $81,363 | $9,275 |
Elissa Slotkin (D) | $16,094,088 | $7,473,267 | $8,620,820 |
Source: Federal Election Commission[92] |
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[d] |
Margin of error |
Nasser Beydoun |
Hill Harper |
Leslie Love |
Elissa Slotkin |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mitchell Research[A] | June 3, 2024 | 268 (LV) | ± 6.0% | 1% | 8% | – | 53% | – | 38% |
Mitchell Research[A] | March 15–16, 2024 | 260 (LV) | – | 3% | 11% | – | 59% | – | 27% |
Target Insyght[B] | January 4–10, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 0% | 7% | 2% | 65% | 26%[e] | |
Public Policy Polling (D)[C] | December 28–29, 2023 | 549 (LV) | – | 2% | 12% | 3% | 50% | – | 34% |
– | 14% | – | 56% | – | 31% | ||||
Emerson College | August 1–2, 2023 | 551 (RV) | ± 4.1% | 2% | 8% | 2% | 34% | 29%[f] | 25% |
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Hill Harper | |||
Democratic | Elissa Slotkin | |||
Total votes |
Republican primary
Candidates
Declared
- Justin Amash, former U.S. representative for Michigan's 3rd congressional district (2011–2021)[94]
- Sherry O'Donnell, physician and candidate for Michigan's 5th congressional district in 2022[95]
- Sandy Pensler, former Wayne County commissioner and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2018[96]
- Mike Rogers, former U.S. representative for Michigan's 8th congressional district (2001–2015)[97]
Withdrawn
- James Craig, former chief of the Detroit Police Department (2013–2021) and disqualified candidate for Governor of Michigan in 2022[98] (endorsed Rogers)[99]
- Michael Hoover, pest control company owner[100]
- Peter Meijer, former U.S. representative for Michigan's 3rd congressional district (2021–2023)[101]
- Nikki Snyder, member of the Michigan State Board of Education (2017–present) (ran for U.S. House)[102]
- Alexandria Taylor, former Allen Park City Attorney (running for Michigan Supreme Court)[100]
- J.D. Wilson, consulting firm owner[103] (ran for U.S. House)[104]
Declined
- Tom Barrett, former state senator for the 24th district (2019–2023) and nominee for Michigan's 7th congressional district in 2022 (running for U.S. House)[105]
- Brian Calley, former lieutenant governor of Michigan (2011–2019) and candidate for Governor of Michigan in 2018[41]
- Tudor Dixon, conservative media personality and nominee for Governor of Michigan in 2022[106]
- John James, U.S. representative for Michigan's 10th congressional district (2023–present) and nominee for U.S. Senate in 2018 and 2020 (running for re-election)[107]
- Perry Johnson, businessman, former candidate for president in 2024 and disqualified candidate for Governor of Michigan in 2022[108]
- Lisa McClain, U.S. representative for Michigan's 9th congressional district (2021–present)[109] (endorsed Rogers)[110]
- Candice Miller, Macomb County Public Works Commissioner (2017–present), former U.S. representative for Michigan's 10th congressional district (2003–2016), and former Michigan Secretary of State (1995–2003)[111] (endorsed Rogers)[112]
- John Tuttle, vice chair of the New York Stock Exchange[113]
Campaign
Residency controversy
Even though Rogers is a former Michigan congressman, he owns a home in Cape Coral, Florida, and was registered to vote in Florida in 2022.[114] He has since purchased a home in White Lake Township, living outside Brighton while that home is remodeled. He also changed his voting registration back to Michigan.[115]
Potential fraud in ballot signatures
Michigan Democrats and the DSCC asked state election officials to investigate the signatures of Sandy Pensler, Mike Rogers and Justin Amash for fraud. They did not provide any proof of fraud, other than the fact that it had occurred two years prior. Amash, Pensler and Rogers were certified.[116]
Endorsements
- Individuals
- Vivek Ramaswamy, pharmaceutical executive and 2024 Republican presidential candidate[120]
- Executive Branch officials
- Donald Trump, 45th President of the United States (2017–2021)[121]
- U.S. senators
- Katie Britt, U.S. senator from Alabama (2023–present)[122]
- Shelley Moore Capito, U.S. senator from West Virginia (2015–present)[123]
- Tom Cotton, U.S. senator from Arkansas (2015–present)[124]
- Joni Ernst, U.S. senator from Iowa (2015–present)[122]
- Steve Daines, U.S. senator from Montana (2015–present)[122]
- John Kennedy, U.S. senator from Louisiana (2016–present)[125]
- Tim Scott, U.S. senator from South Carolina (2013–present)[124]
- U.S. representatives
- Jack Bergman, U.S. representative from MI-01 (2017–present)[124]
- Lisa McClain, U.S. representative from MI-09[g] (2021–present)[110]
- Candice Miller, Macomb County Public Works Commissioner (2017–present), former U.S. representative for Michigan's 10th congressional district (2003–2016), and former Michigan Secretary of State (1995–2003)[112]
- John Moolenaar, U.S. representative from MI-02[h] (2015–present)[124]
- Tim Walberg, U.S. representative from MI-05 (2007–2009, 2011–present)[126]
- Local officials
- James Craig, former chief of the Detroit Police Department (2013–2021) and former 2024 candidate for this seat[99]
- Organizations
- Police Officers Association of Michigan[127]
Fundraising
Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2024 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Justin Amash (R) | $478,461 | $109,747 | $740,238 |
Sherry O'Donnell (R) | $279,722 | $242,919 | $36,803 |
Sandy Pensler (R) | $3,052,515 | $933,790 | $2,118,724 |
Mike Rogers (R) | $2,923,018 | $1,542,455 | $1,380,562 |
James Craig (R)[c] | $136,670 | $136,670 | $0 |
Michael Hoover (R)[c] | $234,341 | $163,819 | $70,522 |
Peter Meijer (R)[c] | $822,896 | $578,927 | $243,968 |
Sharon Savage (R)[c] | $100,130 | $48,758 | $51,372 |
Nikki Snyder (R)[c] | $199,423[i] | $106,254 | $93,169 |
Alexandria Taylor (R)[c] | $26,120 | $26,120 | $0 |
J.D. Wilson (R)[c] | $7,986 | $6,434 | $1,552 |
Source: Federal Election Commission[92] |
For the first quarter of 2024, Rogers reported the highest contributions on the Republican side of just over a million dollars. Meijer reported $234,734 in contributions, Amash reported $478,460 in contributions over the 5 weeks he had been in the race and Pensler reported $1,204 in contributions[21][dead link]
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[d] |
Margin of error |
Justin Amash |
James Craig |
Peter Meijer |
Sandy Pensler |
Mike Rogers |
Other | Undecided | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mitchell Research[A] | June 3, 2024 | 266 (LV) | ± 6.0% | 8% | – | – | 3% | 28% | 0%[j] | 61% | ||||||
Public Policy Polling (D)[C] | May 22–23, 2024 | 486 (LV) | – | 11% | – | – | 12% | 30% | 6%[k] | 41% | ||||||
Emerson College | April 30 – May 1, 2024 | 545 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 8% | – | – | 3% | 32% | 2%[l] | 54% | ||||||
Meijer withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Mitchell Research[A] | March 15–16, 2024 | 288 (LV) | – | 6% | – | 7% | 1% | 27% | – | 59% | ||||||
Market Resource Group (R) | February 19–22, 2024 | 600 (LV) | – | – | – | 7% | 2% | 23% | 6%[m] | 62% | ||||||
Craig withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Target Insyght[B] | January 4–10, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | – | 33% | 11% | 2% | 20% | 2%[n] | 33% | ||||||
Public Policy Polling (D) | October 9–10, 2023 | 430 (LV) | ± 4.7% | – | 30% | – | – | 19% | – | 51% | ||||||
Emerson College | August 1–2, 2023 | 477 (RV) | ± 4.4% | – | – | 9% | – | 12% | 50%[o] | 29% |
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Justin Amash | |||
Republican | Sherry O'Donnell | |||
Republican | Sandy Pensler | |||
Republican | Mike Rogers | |||
Total votes |
Green Party
Candidates
Filed paperwork
- Eric Borregard, graphic designer and perennial candidate[128]
- Douglas Marsh, newspaper journalist[129]
Independents
Filed paperwork
- James Frizzell, insurance agency owner[130]
General election
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[131] | Lean D | November 9, 2023 |
Inside Elections[132] | Tilt D | February 9, 2024 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[133] | Lean D | November 9, 2023 |
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill[134] | Tossup | June 8, 2024 |
Elections Daily[135] | Lean D | May 4, 2023 |
CNalysis[136] | Lean D | November 21, 2023 |
Polling
- Hill Harper vs. Mike Rogers
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[d] |
Margin of error |
Hill Harper (D) |
Mike Rogers (R) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Glengariff Group[D] | April 24–25, 2024 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 36% | 38% | 26% |
- Elissa Slotkin vs. Justin Amash
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[d] |
Margin of error |
Elissa Slotkin (D) |
Justin Amash (R) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Glengariff Group[D] | April 24–25, 2024 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 41% | 34% | 25% |
Emerson College[E] | March 14–18, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 35% | 22% |
- Elissa Slotkin vs. Sandy Pensler
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[d] |
Margin of error |
Elissa Slotkin (D) |
Sandy Pensler (R) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Glengariff Group[D] | April 24–25, 2024 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 41% | 34% | 26% |
Emerson College[E] | March 14–18, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 37% | 21% |
- Elissa Slotkin vs. Mike Rogers
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[d] |
Margin of error |
Elissa Slotkin (D) |
Mike Rogers (R) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
EPIC-MRA | June 21–26, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 42% | 14% |
Emerson College[F] | June 13–18, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 39% | 18% |
Mitchell Research[A] | June 3, 2024 | 697 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 36% | 33% | 31% |
Mainstreet Research/ Florida Atlantic University |
May 30–31, 2024 | 723 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 41% | 41% | 18% |
636 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 43% | 42% | 15% | ||
Mitchell Research[A] | May 20–21, 2024 | 697 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 40% | 36% | 24% |
Glengariff Group[D] | April 24–25, 2024 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 40% | 37% | 23% |
Emerson College[E] | April 25–29, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 40% | 19% |
Emerson College[E] | March 14–18, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 41% | 39% | 20% |
Mitchell Research[A] | March 15–16, 2024 | 627 (LV) | – | 37% | 37% | 26% |
EPIC-MRA | February 13–18, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 39% | 38% | 23% |
Glengariff Group[G] | January 2–6, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 38% | 37% | 25% |
EPIC-MRA | November 10–16, 2023 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 39% | 37% | 24% |
EPIC-MRA | August 6–11, 2023 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 37% | 21% |
Emerson College | August 1–2, 2023 | 1,121 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 44% | 38% | 18% |
Mitchell Research[A] | July 11–13, 2023 | 639 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 38% | 17% |
- Nasser Beydoun vs. Mike Rogers
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[d] |
Margin of error |
Nasser Beydoun (D) |
Mike Rogers (R) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Glengariff Group[D] | April 24–25, 2024 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 36% | 39% | 25% |
- Elissa Slotkin vs. James Craig
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[d] |
Margin of error |
Elissa Slotkin (D) |
James Craig (R) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Glengariff Group[G] | January 2–6, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 36% | 38% | 27% |
EPIC-MRA | November 10–16, 2023 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 40% | 38% | 22% |
Emerson College | August 1–2, 2023 | 1,121 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 45% | 38% | 17% |
EPIC-MRA | June 8–14, 2023 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 40% | 39% | 21% |
- Elissa Slotkin vs. Peter Meijer
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[d] |
Margin of error |
Elissa Slotkin (D) |
Peter Meijer (R) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Glengariff Group[D] | April 24–25, 2024 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 41% | 34% | 25% |
Emerson College[E] | March 14–18, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 34% | 24% |
Glengariff Group[G] | January 2–6, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 36% | 36% | 28% |
Emerson College | August 1–2, 2023 | 1,121 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 42% | 36% | 22% |
Mitchell Research[A] | July 11–13, 2023 | 639 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 41% | 28% | 31% |
- Elissa Slotkin vs. Nikki Snyder
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[d] |
Margin of error |
Elissa Slotkin (D) |
Nikki Snyder (R) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College | August 1–2, 2023 | 1,121 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 44% | 36% | 20% |
- Elissa Slotkin vs. John Tuttle
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[d] |
Margin of error |
Elissa Slotkin (D) |
John Tuttle (R) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College | August 1–2, 2023 | 1,121 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 45% | 35% | 20% |
Notes
- ^ Disqualified candidate
- ^ $462,916 of this total was self-funded by Harper
- ^ a b c d e f g h i Withdrawn candidate
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear - ^ "Other candidates & undecided" with 26%
- ^ Zack Burns and Jacquise Purifoy with 3%; Pamela Pugh with 1%; "Someone Else" with 22%
- ^ Numbered as the 10th from 2021 to 2023
- ^ Numbered as the 4th from 2015–2023
- ^ $39,244 of this total was self-funded by Snyder
- ^ Sherry O'Donnell with 0%
- ^ Sherry O'Donnell with 3%; "Someone else" with 3%
- ^ Sherry O'Donnell with 2%
- ^ "Someone else" with 6%
- ^ Michael Hoover and Nikki Snyder with 1%; Sherry O'Donnell, Bensson Samuel, Sharon Savage, Alexandria Taylor, and J.D. Wilson with 0%
- ^ Nikki Snyder with 6%; Michael Hoover with 3%; Ezra Scott, Alexandria Taylor, and John Tuttle with 1%; "Other" with 39%
- Partisan clients
- ^ a b c d e f g h i Poll commissioned by the Michigan Information and Research Service
- ^ a b Poll sponsored by the Michigan Information and Research Service and the Northern Michigan Chamber Alliance
- ^ a b Poll sponsored by the Voter Protection Project, who have not publicly endorsed any candidate; however, they sent out a press release that describes Elissa Slotkin as "the strongest candidate" in the race.[93]
- ^ a b c d e f Poll sponsored by the Detroit Regional Chamber
- ^ a b c d e Poll sponsored by The Hill
- ^ Poll sponsored by The Hill.
- ^ a b c Poll commissioned by The Detroit News & WDIV-TV
References
- ^ "2024 State Primary Election Dates". www.ncsl.org. Retrieved May 13, 2023.
- ^ "Sen. Stabenow will not seek re-election in 2024". Upper Michigan Source. TV6 News Team. January 5, 2023. Retrieved January 5, 2023.
- ^ Hughes, Siobhan (January 5, 2023). "Democratic Sen. Debbie Stabenow Won't Seek Re-Election". The Wall Street Journal. Retrieved January 5, 2023.
- ^ Cappelletti, Joey; Foody, Kathleen (November 9, 2022). "Whitmer, Democrats get sweeping wins in divided Michigan". Associated Press. Retrieved April 19, 2023.
- ^ Coleman, J. Miles (October 27, 2022). "The Senate: Race for Majority Remains a Toss-up as 2024 Looms – Sabato's Crystal Ball". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved February 25, 2023.
- ^ Schuster, Simon (September 17, 2023). "Michigan's GOP is 'a doggone mess': inside a party torn by infighting and paranoia". MLive Media Group. Retrieved November 28, 2023.
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Gov. Gretchen Whitmer and Mayor Mike Duggan of Detroit would not run for the Senate, aides said.
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Former Representative Andy Levin, who lost his House seat to fellow Democrat Haley Stevens in a primary after it was redrawn, also has no plans to run for Senate, according to his spokeswoman...a spokesperson for Rep. Dan Kildee (D-Mich.) also confirmed he wouldn't be running for Senate in 2024.
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Pugh added state Sen. Mallory McMorrow (D-Royal Oak), Rep. Hillary Scholten (MI-3) and Rep. Haley Stevens (MI-11) as possible successors to Stabenow.
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Scholten is seeking another term in the U.S. House.
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Meanwhile, newly-elected Rep. Shri Thanedar says he has "no plans" to seek a promotion
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- ^ Nann Burke, Melissa (February 29, 2024). "Ex-Rep. Brenda Lawrence backs Hill Harper for Senate in Michigan". The Detroit News. Retrieved February 29, 2024.
- ^ a b Demas, Susan (June 8, 2024). "Waters, Harper say Black representation in Congress matters for Michigan". Michigan Advance. Retrieved June 17, 2024.
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Harper, though, got some welcome news Monday when he received an endorsement from Wayne County Executive Warren Evans, who leads the most populous county in the state.
- ^ https://www.detroitnews.com/story/news/politics/2024/07/02/dave-chappelle-headlining-event-for-senate-hopeful-harper-in-detroit/74284654007/
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Tudor Dixon, the Republican gubernatorial nominee in 2022, also indicated she wouldn't seek Stabenow's seat.
- ^ Cappelletti, Joey (February 24, 2023). "GOP Rep. John James won't seek Michigan's open Senate seat". AP News. Retrieved February 24, 2023.
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- ^ a b Fahlberg, Audrey (April 9, 2024). "GOP Senate Candidate Mike Rogers in Michigan Snags Another Congressional Endorsement". National Review.
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Former Rep. CANDICE MILLER (R-Mich.) will not run for the seat being vacated by Sen. DEBBIE STABENOW (D-Mich.), per The Detroit News' Melissa Nann Burke.
- ^ a b Nann Burke, Melissa (February 13, 2024). "Former U.S. Rep. Candice Miller backs Mike Rogers for U.S. Senate in Michigan". The Detroit News. Retrieved February 27, 2024.
- ^ Mutnick, Ally (September 13, 2023). "NYSE exec won't run for Michigan's GOP Senate nomination". Politico. Retrieved September 13, 2023.
- ^ "Oops: Michigan Republican Candidate is Registered to Vote in Florida". April 10, 2024.
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- ^ FreedomWorks for America [@FWForAmerica] (March 27, 2024). "👀 @JustinAmash spent a decade in the House fighting for free markets and our precious civil liberties. He was a reliable bulwark against government overreach, wasteful spending, and intrusive spying. Now he's ready to take those American values to the Senate! #ampFW" (Tweet). Retrieved April 11, 2024 – via Twitter.
- ^ RLC [@RLibertyCaucus] (April 17, 2024). "The Republican Liberty Caucus proudly endorses @justinamash for U.S. Senate . In his time in Congress Justin Amash fought for fidelity to the constitution and to protect individual liberty. Michigan, we urge you to elect Justin Amash to represent you in the U.S. Senate!" (Tweet). Retrieved April 17, 2024 – via Twitter.
- ^ "Vivek Ramaswamy Endorses Lesser-Known Candidate In Key Senate Race". news.knowledia.com. February 29, 2024. Retrieved March 1, 2024.
- ^ "Trump endorses Rogers for Senate in Michigan". The Detroit News. March 11, 2024. Retrieved March 11, 2024.
- ^ a b c Holt, Matt (December 7, 2023). "Two Senators Back Mike Rogers' Michigan Senate Bid (Exclusive)". themessenger.com. Archived from the original on December 8, 2023. Retrieved December 8, 2023.
- ^ "Mike Rogers nabs another high-profile endorsement in competitive Senate race". Washington Examiner. December 14, 2023. Retrieved December 14, 2023.
- ^ a b c d Burke, Melissa (June 19, 2024). "Moolenaar backs Rogers for U.S. Senate in Michigan". The Detroit News. Retrieved June 20, 2024.
- ^ Sivak, David (April 24, 2024). "Mike Rogers builds GOP support for Michigan Senate bid with John Kennedy endorsement". Retrieved April 24, 2024.
- ^ Nann Burke, Melissa. "Rep. Walberg endorses Rogers for Senate in Michigan". The Detroit News. Archived from the original on December 4, 2023. Retrieved December 4, 2023.
- ^ "POAM endorses long-time friend Mike Rogers for Senate". Police Officers Association of Michigan. September 15, 2023. Retrieved September 17, 2023.
- ^ "BORREGARD, ERIC J - Candidate overview". FEC.gov. Retrieved March 22, 2024.
- ^ "MARSH, DOUGLAS PHILIP - Candidate overview". FEC.gov. Retrieved March 22, 2024.
- ^ "James Kieth Frizzell Sr". Multipartist. Retrieved March 22, 2024.
- ^ "2024 Senate Race ratings". Cook Political Report. Retrieved January 25, 2023.
- ^ "Senate Ratings". Inside Elections. January 6, 2023. Retrieved January 10, 2023.
- ^ "2024 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. January 24, 2023. Retrieved February 13, 2023.
- ^ "2024 Senate prediction map". elections2024.thehill.com/. The Hill. June 8, 2024. Retrieved June 8, 2024.
- ^ "Election Ratings". Elections Daily. August 1, 2023. Retrieved August 2, 2023.
- ^ "'24 Senate Forecast". CNalysis. Retrieved November 21, 2023.
External links
- Official campaign websites
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