Statewide polls for the 2012 United States presidential election are as follows. The polls listed here, by state, are from January 1 to August 31, 2012, and provide early data on opinion polling between a possible Republican candidate against incumbent President Barack Obama.
Note that some states had not conducted polling yet or no updated polls were present from January 1 to August 31, 2012.
![](https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/d/d8/Leading_presidential_candidate_2012_by_state_Obama_Romney.svg/220px-Leading_presidential_candidate_2012_by_state_Obama_Romney.svg.png)
![](https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/4/49/Leading_presidential_candidate_2012_by_state_Obama_Gingrich.svg/220px-Leading_presidential_candidate_2012_by_state_Obama_Gingrich.svg.png)
![](https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/0/04/Leading_presidential_candidate_2012_by_state_Obama_Santorum.svg/220px-Leading_presidential_candidate_2012_by_state_Obama_Santorum.svg.png)
![](https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/6/6a/Leading_presidential_candidate_2012_by_state_Obama_Paul.svg/220px-Leading_presidential_candidate_2012_by_state_Obama_Paul.svg.png)
9 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 62%–38%
(Republican in 2008) 60%–38%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Capital Survey Research Center[1] | August 13–16, 2012 | Barack Obama | 36% | Mitt Romney | 54% | 18 | 452 RV | ±4.6% |
Capital Survey Research Center[2] | June 7, 18–19, 26–27, 2012 | Barack Obama | 36% | Mitt Romney | 51% | 15 | 551 LV | ±4.2% |
11 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 55%–44%
(Republican in 2008) 53%–45%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling[3] | July 23–25, 2012 | Barack Obama | 41% | Mitt Romney | 52% | 11 | 833 RV | ±3.4% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[4] | June 26, 2012 | Barack Obama | 41% | Mitt Romney | 54% | 13 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Project New America/Public Policy Polling (D)[5] | June 4–5, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 49% | 3 | 791 RV | ±3.5% |
Public Policy Polling[6] | May 17–20, 2012 | Barack Obama | 43% | Mitt Romney | 50% | 7 | 500 RV | ±4.4% |
DC London/Magellan Strategies (R)[7] | April 30 – May 2, 2012 | Barack Obama | 43% | Mitt Romney | 52% | 9 | 909 LV | ±3.25% |
Behavior Research Center (Rocky Mountain Poll[8]) | April 9–17, 2012 | Barack Obama | 42% | Mitt Romney | 40% | 2 | 511 RV | ±4.4% |
Arizona State University[9] | April 8–14, 2012 | Barack Obama | 40% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 2 | 488 RV | ±4.4% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[4] | March 13, 2012 | Barack Obama | 40% | Mitt Romney | 51% | 11 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
44% | Rick Santorum | 45% | 1 | |||||
NBC News/Marist College[10] | February 19–20, 2012 | Barack Obama | 40% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 5 | 2,487 RV | ±1.8% |
Barack Obama | 41% | Ron Paul | 43% | 2 | ||||
Barack Obama | 45% | Newt Gingrich | 40% | 5 | ||||
Barack Obama | 42% | Rick Santorum | 45% | 3 | ||||
Public Policy Polling[11] | February 17–19, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 47% | Tie | 743 RV | ±3.6% |
Barack Obama | 46% | Ron Paul | 42% | 4 | ||||
Barack Obama | 48% | Newt Gingrich | 44% | 4 | ||||
Barack Obama | 46% | Rick Santorum | 47% | 1 | ||||
Behavior Research Center (Rocky Mountain Poll)[12] | January 5–9, 2012 | Barack Obama | 37% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 6 | 553 RV | ±4.3% |
Barack Obama | 44% | Ron Paul | 36% | 8 | ||||
45% | Newt Gingrich | 35% | 10 | |||||
43% | Rick Santorum | 34% | 9 |
Three way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling[13] | May 17–20, 2012 | Barack Obama | 41% | Mitt Romney | 45% | Gary Johnson | 9% | 4 | 500 RV | ±4.4% |
6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 54%–45%
(Republican in 2008) 59%–39%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Talk Business/Hendrix College[14] | March 26, 2012 | Barack Obama | 33% | Mitt Romney | 56.5% | 23.5 | 759 LV | ±3.6% |
55 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 54%–45%
(Democratic in 2008) 61%–37%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Policy Analysis for California Education/USC Rossier School of Education/Tulchin Research[15] | August 3–7, 2012 | Barack Obama | 55.6% | Mitt Romney | 32.7% | 22.9 | 1,041 LV | ±3.0% |
CBRT/Pepperdine University/M4 Strategies[16] | July 16–17, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51.9% | Mitt Romney | 32.6% | 19.3 | 812 LV | ±3.4% |
Field Research Corporation (Field Poll)[17] | June 21 – July 2, 2012 | Barack Obama | 55% | Mitt Romney | 37% | 18 | 848 LV | ±3.4% |
SurveyUSA[18] | May 27–29, 2012 | Barack Obama | 57% | Mitt Romney | 36% | 21 | 1,575 RV | ±2.5% |
Field Research Corporation (Field Poll)[19] | May 21–29, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 32% | 16 | 710 RV | ±3.8% |
USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times/Greenberg Quinlan Rosner/American Viewpoint[20] | May 17–21, 2012 | Barack Obama | 56% | Mitt Romney | 37% | 19 | 1,002 RV | ±3.5% |
Public Policy Institute of California[21] | May 14–20, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 39% | 11 | 894 LV | ±4.2% |
SurveyUSA[22] | March 29, 2012 – April 2, 2012 | Barack Obama | 62% | Mitt Romney | 31% | 31 | 1,995 RV | ±2.2% |
USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times/Greenberg Quinlan Rosner/American Viewpoint[23] | March 14–19, 2012 | Barack Obama | 57% | Mitt Romney | 36% | 21 | 1,500 RV | ±2.9% |
Field Research Corporation (Field Poll)[24] | February 11–18, 2012 | Barack Obama | 55% | Mitt Romney | 35% | 20 | 1,000 RV | ±3.1% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[25] | February 8–16, 2012 | Barack Obama | 57% | Mitt Romney | 35% | 22 | 500 | ±4.5% |
58% | Rick Santorum | 30% | 28 | |||||
SurveyUSA[26] | February 8–9, 2012 | Barack Obama | 60% | Mitt Romney | 31% | 29 | 2,088 RV | ±2.1% |
63% | Newt Gingrich | 27% | 36 | |||||
61% | Ron Paul | 29% | 31 | |||||
61% | Rick Santorum | 29% | 32 |
9 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 52%–47%
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–45%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Keating Research/OnSight Public Affairs[27] | August 21–22, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 4 | 500 LV | ±4.4% |
Purple Strategies[28] | August 13–14, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 3 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[29] | August 6, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 47% | Tied | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Public Policy Polling[30] | August 2–5, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 6 | 779 LV | ±3.5% |
Purple Strategies[31] | July 9–13, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 1 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
Priorities USA Action/Garin-Hart-Yang-Research Group (D)[32] | June 25 – July 5, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 7 | 608 LV | ±4.% |
We Ask America[33] | June 25, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46.6% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 3.6 | 1,083 LV | ±2.98% |
Public Policy Polling[34] | June 14–17, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 7 | 799 LV | ±3.5% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[29] | June 7, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 45% | Tied | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Purple Strategies[35] | May 31 – June 5, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 2 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
NBC News/Marist College[36] | May 22–24, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 1 | 1,030 RV | ±3.0% |
Project New America/Keating Research/Keating Research/OnSight Public Affairs (D)[37] | May 21–24, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 4 | 601 RV | ±4.0% |
Purple Strategies[38] | April 19–23, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 47% | Tied | Not reported | ±4.1% |
Public Policy Polling[39] | April 5–7, 2012 | Barack Obama | 53% | Mitt Romney | 40% | 13 | 542 | ±4.2% |
55% | Newt Gingrich | 37% | 18 | |||||
54% | Rick Santorum | 38% | 16 | |||||
47% | Ron Paul | 42% | 5 |
Three way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling[30] | August 2–5, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 42% | Gary Johnson | 4% | 4 | 779 | ±3.5% |
Public Policy Polling[34] | June 14–17, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 39% | Gary Johnson | 7% | 8 | 799 | ±3.5% |
7 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 54%–44%
(Democratic in 2008) 61%–38%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Quinnipiac University[40] | August 22–26, 2012 | Barack Obama | 52% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 7 | 1,472 LV | ±2.6% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[41] | August 21, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 8 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Quinnipiac University[42] | May 29, 2012 – June 3, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 38% | 12 | 1,408 | ±2.6% |
Quinnipiac University[43] | March 14–19, 2012 | Barack Obama | 53% | Mitt Romney | 37% | 16 | 1,622 | ±2.4% |
55% | Rick Santorum | 35% | 20 |
29 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 52%–47%
(Democratic in 2008) 51%–48%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corporation[44] | August 22–26, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 4 | 776 LV | ±3.5% |
CBS News/New York Times/Quinnipiac University[45] | August 15–21, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 3 | 1,241 LV | ±2.8% |
Gravis Marketing[46] | August 20, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 48% | 3 | 728 LV | ±3.8% |
Foster McCollum White Baydoun/Douglas Fulmer & Associates[47] | August 17, 2012 | Barack Obama | 39.9% | Mitt Romney | 54.46% | 14.56 | 1,503 LV | ±2.53% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[48] | August 15, 2012 | Barack Obama | 43% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 2 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Purple Strategies[28] | August 13–14, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 48% | 1 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
CBS News/New York Times/Quinnipiac University[49] | July 24–30, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 6 | 1,177 LV | ±3.0% |
Public Policy Polling[50] | July 26–29, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 1 | 871 LV | ±3.3% |
WFLA-TV Tampa/SurveyUSA[51] | July 17–19, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 5 | 647 LV | ±3.9% |
Purple Strategies[52] | July 9–13, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 48% | 3 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
Mason-Dixon Polling & Research[53] | July 9–11, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 1 | 800 RV | ±3.5% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[48] | July 9, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 1 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Priorities USA/Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group (D)[32] | June 25 – July 3, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 4 | 608 LV | ±4.0% |
We Ask America[54] | July 1–2, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46.1% | Mitt Romney | 45.3% | 0.8 | 1,127 LV | ±2.9% |
Quinnipiac University[55] | June 19–25, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 41% | 4 | 1,200 RV | ±2.8% |
Quinnipiac University[56] | June 12–18, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 4 | 1,697 RV | ±2.4% |
Purple Strategies[57] | May 31, 2012 – June 5, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 49% | 4 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
Public Policy Polling[58] | May 31 – June 3, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 4 | 642 RV | ±3.9% |
Quinnipiac University[59] | May 15–21, 2012 | Barack Obama | 41% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 6 | 1,722 RV | ±2.4% |
NBC News/Marist College[60] | May 17–20, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 4 | 1,078 RV | ±3.0% |
Suffolk University/7News[61] | May 6–8, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 1 | 600 RV | ±4% |
Quinnipiac University[62] | April 25 – May 1, 2012 | Barack Obama | 43% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 1 | 1,169 RV | ±2.9% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[48] | April 25, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 1 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Purple Strategies[63] | April 19–23, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 2 | 600 LV | ±4.1% |
Fox News/Anderson Robbins/Shaw & Company[64] | April 15–17, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 2 | 757 RV | ±4.0% |
Public Policy Polling[65] | April 12–15, 2012 | Barack Obama | 52% | Newt Gingrich | 40% | 8 | 700 LV | ±3.7% |
50% | Ron Paul | 40% | 10 | |||||
50% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 5 | |||||
Quinnipiac University[66] | March 20–26, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 7 | 1,228 RV | ±2.8% |
50% | Rick Santorum | 37% | 13 | |||||
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[48] | March 13, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 3 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
45% | Rick Santorum | 43% | 2 | |||||
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[48] | February 9, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 3 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
47% | Rick Santorum | 46% | 1 | |||||
NBC News/Marist College[67] | January 25–27, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 41% | 8 | 1,739 LV | ±2.7% |
52% | Newt Gingrich | 35% | 17 | |||||
50% | Ron Paul | 36% | 14 | |||||
50% | Rick Santorum | 35% | 15 | |||||
Mason-Dixon Research & Polling/Miami Herald/El Nuevo Herald[68][permanent dead link] | January 24–26, 2012 | Barack Obama | 44% | Mitt Romney | 48% | 4 | 800 LV | ±3.5% |
Barack Obama | 50% | Newt Gingrich | 41% | 9 | ||||
50% | Rick Santorum | 39% | 11 | |||||
Suffolk University[69] | January 22–24, 2012 | Barack Obama | 42% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 5 | 600 RV | Not reported |
Barack Obama | 49% | Newt Gingrich | 40% | 9 | ||||
Quinnipiac University[70] | January 19–23, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 45% | Tied | 1,518 RV | ±2.5% |
Barack Obama | 50% | Newt Gingrich | 39% | 11 | ||||
47% | Ron Paul | 39% | 8 | |||||
49% | Rick Santorum | 40% | 9 | |||||
Everglades Foundation/Tarrance Group (R)[71] | January 4–8, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 1 | 607 LV | ±4.1% |
Quinnipiac University[72] | January 4–8, 2012 | Barack Obama | 43% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 3 | 1,412 RV | ±2.8% |
Barack Obama | 45% | Rick Santorum | 43% | 2 |
Three way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mason Dixon[53] | July 9–11, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 45% | Gary Johnson | 2% | 1 | 800 | ±3.5% |
16 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 58%–41%
(Republican in 2008) 52%–47%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
20/20 Insight[73] | August 15–18, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 49% | 3 | 1,158 LV | ±2.9% |
Majority Opinion Research/InsiderAdvantage[74] | May 22, 2012 | Barack Obama | 40% | Mitt Romney | 52% | 12 | 438 | Not reported |
Rosetta Stone Communications/Landmark Communications[75] | May 10, 2012 | Barack Obama | 40.2% | Mitt Romney | 51.1% | 10.9 | 600 RV | ±4.0% |
SurveyUSA[76] | February 23–26, 2012 | Barack Obama | 44% | Newt Gingrich | 48% | 4 | 1,156 RV | ±2.9% |
42% | Mitt Romney | 49% | 7 | |||||
43% | Rick Santorum | 47% | 4 | |||||
43% | Ron Paul | 46% | 3 |
20 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 55%–45%
(Democratic in 2008) 62%–37%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Crain's Chicago Business/Ipsos[77] | July 16–22, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 31% | 20 | 600 | ±4.7% |
WGN-TV/Chicago Tribune[78] | February 2–6, 2012 | Barack Obama | 56% | Mitt Romney | 35% | 21 | 600 | ±4.0% |
11 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 60%–39%
(Democratic in 2008) 50%–49%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[79] | July 31 – August 1, 2012 | Barack Obama | 35% | Mitt Romney | 51% | 16 | 400 LV | ±5.0% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[79] | May 25, 2012 | Barack Obama | 42% | Mitt Romney | 48% | 6 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
Howey Politics/DePauw University/Bellwether Research/Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group[80] | March 26–27, 2012 | Barack Obama | 40% | Mitt Romney | 49% | 9 | 503 LV | ±4.5% |
41% | Rick Santorum | 46% | 5 |
6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 50%–49%
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–44%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling[81] | August 23–26, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 2 | 1,244 LV | ±2.8% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[82] | August 8, 2012 | Barack Obama | 44% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 2 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Public Policy Polling[83] | July 12–15, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 5 | 1,131 RV | ±2.91% |
We Ask America[84] | June 18, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 1 | 1,086 LV | ±3.0% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[82] | June 11, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 1 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
NBC News/Marist College[85] | May 22–24, 2012 | Barack Obama | 44% | Mitt Romney | 44% | Tied | 1,106 RV | ±3.0% |
Public Policy Polling[86] | May 3–6, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Ron Paul | 39% | 8 | 1,181 RV | ±2.85% |
Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 41% | 10 | ||||
Des Moines Register/Selzer & Co.[87][permanent dead link] | February 12–15, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Newt Gingrich | 37% | 14 | 611 LV | ±3.5% |
Barack Obama | 44% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 2 | ||||
42% | Ron Paul | 49% | 7 | |||||
44% | Rick Santorum | 48% | 4 |
4 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 53%–45%
(Democratic in 2008) 58%–40%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Portland Press Herald/Critical Insights[88] | June 20–25, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 35% | 14 | 615 RV | ±4.0% |
MassINC Polling Group[89] | June 13–14, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 34% | 14 | 506 LV | ±4.4% |
Critical Insights[90] | May 2–7, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 8 | 600 RV | ±4.0% |
Public Policy Polling[91] | March 2–4, 2012 | Barack Obama | 54% | Ron Paul | 38% | 16 | 1,256 RV | ±2.8% |
58% | Rick Santorum | 35% | 23 | |||||
60% | Newt Gingrich | 32% | 28 | |||||
58% | Mitt Romney | 35% | 23 |
10 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 56%–43%
(Democratic in 2008) 61%–38%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Marylanders for Marriage Equality/Public Policy Polling (D)[92] | May 14–16, 2012 | Barack Obama | 58% | Mitt Romney | 35% | 23 | 852 LV | ±3.4% |
11 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 62%–37%
(Democratic in 2008) 62%–36%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kimball Political Consulting[93] | August 21, 2012 | Barack Obama | 52% | Mitt Romney | 41% | 11 | 592 LV | ±4% |
Public Policy Polling[94] | August 16–19, 2012 | Barack Obama | 55% | Mitt Romney | 39% | 16 | 1,115LV | ±2.9% |
Public Policy Polling[95] | June 22–24, 2012 | Barack Obama | 55% | Mitt Romney | 39% | 16 | 902LV | ±3.3% |
Western New England University[96] | May 29–31, 2012 | Barack Obama | 56% | Mitt Romney | 34% | 22 | 504 LV | ±4.4% |
The Boston Globe/University of New Hampshire[97] | May 25–31, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 34% | 12 | 651 LV | ±3.8% |
Suffolk University[98] | May 20–22, 2012 | Barack Obama | 59% | Mitt Romney | 34% | 25 | 600 LV | ±4% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[99] | May 7, 2012 | Barack Obama | 56% | Mitt Romney | 35% | 21 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[99] | April 9, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 40% | 11 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
The Boston Globe/University of New Hampshire[100] | March 21–27, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 33% | 16 | 544 LV | ±4.4% |
Public Policy Polling[101] | March 16–18, 2012 | Barack Obama | 62% | Newt Gingrich | 28% | 34 | 936 RV | ±3.2% |
58% | Ron Paul | 30% | 28 | |||||
58% | Mitt Romney | 35% | 23 | |||||
61% | Rick Santorum | 29% | 32 | |||||
MassLive.com/The Republican/Western New England University[102] | February 23 – March 1, 2012 | Barack Obama | 60% | Mitt Romney | 34% | 26 | 527 RV | ±4.3% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[99] | February 29, 2012 | Barack Obama | 55% | Mitt Romney | 38% | 17 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
58% | Rick Santorum | 32% | 26 | |||||
Suffolk University[103] | February 11–15, 2012 | Barack Obama | 63% | Newt Gingrich | 27% | 36 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
53% | Mitt Romney | 39% | 14 | |||||
59% | Rick Santorum | 32% | 27 | |||||
60% | Ron Paul | 26% | 34 | |||||
Mass Insight Global Partnerships/Opinion Dynamics Corporation[104] | January 31 – February 4, 2012 | Barack Obama | 56% | Mitt Romney | 38% | 18 | 456 RV | ±4.6% |
Four Way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Green | % | Libertarian | % | Lead margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling[95] Margin of error: ±3.3% Sample size: 902LV |
June 22–24, 2012 | Barack Obama | 53% | Mitt Romney | 38% | Jill Stein | 3% | Gary Johnson | 1% | 15 |
16 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 51%–48%
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–41%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
EPIC-MRA[105] | August 28, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 3 | 1200 LV | ±2.6% |
Mitchell Research & Communications[106] | August 23, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46.6% | Mitt Romney | 47.7% | 0.1 | 1277 LV | ±2.74% |
Detroit News/Glengariff Group[107] | August 18–20, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47.5% | Mitt Romney | 42.0% | 5.5 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
Foster McCollum White & Associates/Baydoun Consulting[108] | August 16, 2012 | Barack Obama | 44% | Mitt Romney | 48% | 4 | 1,733 LV | ±2.35% |
Mitchell Research & Communications[109] | August 13, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 5 | 1,079 LV | ±2.98% |
EPIC-MRA[110] | July 24–31, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 6 | 600 LV | ±3.5% |
Mitchell Research & Communications[111][permanent dead link] | July 23, 2012 | Barack Obama | 44% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 1 | 825 LV | ±3.4% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[112] | July 23, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 6 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Public Policy Polling[113] | July 21–23, 2012 | Barack Obama | 53% | Mitt Romney | 39% | 14 | 579 RV | ±4.1% |
NBC News/Marist College[114] | June 24–25, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 4 | 1,078 RV | ±3.0% |
Mitchell Research & Communications[115] | June 18, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 1 | 750 LV | ±3.58% |
We Ask America[84] | June 18, 2012 | Barack Obama | 43% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 2 | 1,010LV | ±3.0% |
Lambert, Edwards & Associates/Denno Research[116] | June 14–15, 2012 | Barack Obama | 40% | Mitt Romney | 40% | Tied | 600 LV | ±4% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[112] | June 14, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 8 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Baydoun Consulting/Foster McCollum White & Associates[117] | June 12, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46.89% | Mitt Romney | 45.48% | 1.41 | 1,783 | ±2.32% |
EPIC-MRA[118] | June 2–5, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 1 | 600 LV | ±4% |
Public Policy Polling[119] | May 24–27, 2012 | Barack Obama | 53% | Mitt Romney | 39% | 14 | 500 RV | ±4.4% |
Glengariff Group[120][permanent dead link] | May 10–11, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 40% | 5 | 600 LV | ±4% |
EPIC-MRA[121] | March 31 – April 3, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 4 | 600 LV | ±4% |
Marketing Resource Group[122] | March 14–19, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 7 | 600 LV | ±4% |
NBC News/Marist College[10] | February 19–20, 2012 | Barack Obama | 55% | Rick Santorum | 29% | 26 | 3,149 RV | ±1.8% |
56% | Newt Gingrich | 28% | 28 | |||||
53% | Ron Paul | 31% | 22 | |||||
51% | Mitt Romney | 33% | 18 | |||||
Public Policy Polling[123] | February 10–12, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Rick Santorum | 39% | 11 | 560 RV | ±4.14% |
56% | Newt Gingrich | 34% | 22 | |||||
52% | Ron Paul | 34% | 18 | |||||
54% | Mitt Romney | 38% | 16 | |||||
Detroit Free Press/EPIC-MRA[124] | January 21–25, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Newt Gingrich | 38% | 13 | 600 LV | ±4% |
48% | Mitt Romney | 40% | 8 |
10 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 51%–48%
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–44%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
KSTP-TV Minneapolis/SurveyUSA[125] | July 17–19, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 40% | 6 | 552 LV | ±4.3% |
Public Policy Polling[126] | May 31 – June 3, 2012 | Barack Obama | 54% | Mitt Romney | 39% | 15 | 973 RV | ±3.1% |
KSTP-TV Minneapolis/Survey USA[127] | May 9–10, 2012 | Barack Obama | 52% | Mitt Romney | 38% | 14 | 516 RV | ±4.4% |
KSTP-TV Minneapolis/Survey USA[128] | January 31 – February 2, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 36% | 13 | 542 RV | ±4.3% |
55% | Newt Gingrich | 29% | 26 | |||||
48% | Ron Paul | 37% | 11 | |||||
51% | Rick Santorum | 32% | 19 | |||||
Public Policy Polling[129] | January 21–22, 2012 | Barack Obama | 54% | Newt Gingrich | 39% | 15 | 1,236 RV | ±2.8% |
52% | Rick Santorum | 40% | 12 | |||||
51% | Ron Paul | 38% | 13 | |||||
51% | Mitt Romney | 41% | 10 |
10 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 53%–46%
(Republican in 2008) 49%–49%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling[130] | August 28–29, 2012 | Barack Obama | 41% | Mitt Romney | 53% | 12 | 621 LV | ±3.9% |
St. Louis Post-Dispatch/Mason-Dixon Polling & Research[131] | August 22–23, 2012 | Barack Obama | 43% | Mitt Romney | 50% | 7 | 625 LV | ±4.0% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[132] | August 22, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 1 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Public Policy Polling[133] | August 20, 2012 | Barack Obama | 42% | Mitt Romney | 52% | 10 | 500 LV | ±4.4% |
KSDK-TV St. Louis/KSHB-TV Kansas City/KSPR-TV Springfield/KYTV-TV Springfield/SurveyUSA[134] | August 9–12, 2012 | Barack Obama | 44% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 1 | 585 LV | ±4.1% |
Missouri Scout/Chilenski Strategies[135] | August 8, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 48% | 1 | 663LV | ±3.8% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[132] | July 30, 2012 | Barack Obama | 44% | Mitt Romney | 50% | 6 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
We Ask America[136] | July 24, 2012 | Barack Obama | 39.73% | Mitt Romney | 49.01% | 9.28 | 1,172 LV | ±3.0% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[132] | June 7, 2012 | Barack Obama | 42% | Mitt Romney | 49% | 7 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Public Policy Polling[137] | May 24–27, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 1 | 602 RV | ±4.0% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[132] | April 17, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 48% | 3 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[132] | March 14–15, 2012 | Barack Obama | 42% | Rick Santorum | 51% | 9 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Barack Obama | 41% | Mitt Romney | 50% | 9 | ||||
Public Policy Polling[138] | January 27–29, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Newt Gingrich | 42% | 7 | 582 RV | ±4.1% |
Barack Obama | 45% | Ron Paul | 43% | 2 | ||||
Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 45% | Tied | ||||
Barack Obama | 47% | Rick Santorum | 44% | 3 |
Three way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Capitol Correspondent/North Star Campaign Systems/North Star Campaign Systems/Gravis Marketing (R)[139] | August 23, 2012 | Barack Obama | 36.1% | Mitt Romney | 53.1% | Gary Johnson | 4.1% | 17 | 1,057 A | ±3.4% |
We Ask America[136] | July 24, 2012 | Barack Obama | 39.7% | Mitt Romney | 49.0% | Gary Johnson | 2.1% | 9.3 | 1,172 LV | ±3.0% |
3 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 59%–39%
(Republican in 2008) 49%–47%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[140] | August 20, 2012 | Barack Obama | 38% | Mitt Romney | 55% | 17 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[140] | June 18, 2012 | Barack Obama | 42% | Mitt Romney | 51% | 9 | 500 | ±5.0% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[140] | May 2, 2012 | Barack Obama | 44% | Mitt Romney | 51% | 7 | 450 LV | ±5.0% |
Public Policy Polling[141] | April 26–29, 2012 | Barack Obama | 43% | Mitt Romney | 48% | 5 | 934 RV | ±3.2% |
41% | Ron Paul | 49% | 8 | |||||
Barack Obama | 45% | Newt Gingrich | 45% | Tie | ||||
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[140] | February 22, 2012 | Barack Obama | 41% | Mitt Romney | 48% | 7 | 500 RV | ±4.5% |
41% | Rick Santorum | 45% | 4 |
Three way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling[141] | April 26–29, 2012 | Barack Obama | 41% | Mitt Romney | 43% | Gary Johnson | 8% | 2 | 934 | ±3.2% |
5 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 66%–33%
(Republican in 2008) 57%–42%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[142] | May 16, 2012 | Barack Obama | 39% | Mitt Romney | 53% | 14 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Public Policy Polling[143] | March 22–25, 2012 | Barack Obama | 39% | Mitt Romney | 51% | 12 | 1,028 RV | ±3.1% |
38% | Rick Santorum | 55% | 17 | |||||
40% | Newt Gingrich | 49% | 9 | |||||
37% | Ron Paul | 49% | 12 | |||||
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[142] | March 5, 2012 | Barack Obama | 35% | Mitt Romney | 52% | 17 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
37% | Rick Santorum | 49% | 12 |
Second congressional district
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling[143] | March 22–25, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 1 | Not reported | Not reported |
Barack Obama | 47% | Rick Santorum | 47% | Tied | ||||
Barack Obama | 46% | Newt Gingrich | 44% | 2 | ||||
Barack Obama | 42% | Ron Paul | 44% | 2 |
6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 51%–48%
(Democratic in 2008) 55%–43%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling[144] | August 23–26, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 3 | 831 LV | ±3.4% |
Las Vegas Review Journal/SurveyUSA[145] | August 16–21, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 2 | 869 LV | ±3.4% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[146] | July 24, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 5 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Magellan Strategies[147] | July 16–17, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 4 | 665 RV | ±3.8% |
Public Policy Polling[148] | June 7–10, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 6 | 500 RV | ±4.4% |
NBC News/Marist College[149] | May 22–24, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 2 | 1,040 RV | ±3.0% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[146] | April 30, 2012 | Barack Obama | 52% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 8 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Public Policy Polling[150] | March 29 – April 1, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 8 | 533 RV | ±4.2% |
54% | Rick Santorum | 40% | 14 | |||||
49% | Ron Paul | 42% | 7 | |||||
54% | Newt Gingrich | 39% | 15 | |||||
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[146] | March 19, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 6 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
52% | Rick Santorum | 36% | 16 |
Three-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Lead Margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
We Ask America[151] | July 17–18, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 43% | Gary Johnson | 2% | 6 | 1,092 LV | ±2.95% |
4 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 50%–49%
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–45%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling[152] | August 9–12, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 6 | 1,055 LV | ±3.0% |
WMUR/University of New Hampshire[153] | August 1–12, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 3 | 555 LV | ±4.2% |
Democracy for America/Public Policy Polling (D)[154] | August 5–8, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 6 | 1,591 LV | ±2.5% |
WMUR/University of New Hampshire[155] | July 5–15, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 4 | 470 LV | ±4.5% |
NBC News/Marist College[156] | June 24–25, 2012 | Barack Obama | 43% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 1 | 1029 RV | ±3.1% |
American Research Group[157] | June 21–24, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 3 | 417 LV | Not reported |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[158] | June 20, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 5 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Public Policy Polling[159] | May 10–13, 2012 | Barack Obama | 53% | Mitt Romney | 41% | 12 | 1,163 RV | ±2.9% |
WMUR/University of New Hampshire[160] | April 9–20, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 9 | 486 LV | ±4.4% |
Dartmouth College[161] | April 2–5, 2012 | Barack Obama | 42.4% | Mitt Romney | 43.9% | 1.5 | 403 RV | ±4.9% |
American Research Group[157] | March 15–18, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 2 | 557 RV | Not reported |
WMUR/University of New Hampshire[162] | January 25 – February 2, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 40% | 10 | 495 LV | ±4.4% |
50% | Ron Paul | 42% | 8 | |||||
60% | Newt Gingrich | 35% | 25 | |||||
56% | Rick Santorum | 35% | 21 |
Three way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling[163] | May 10–13, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 38% | Gary Johnson | 7% | 13 | 1,163 | ±2.9% |
14 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 52%–46%
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–42%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Rutgers University[164] | August 23–25, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 37% | 14 | 710 LV | ±3.5% |
Monmouth University[165] | July 18–22, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 38% | 13 | 678 RV | ±3.8% |
Quinnipiac University[166] | July 9–15, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 38% | 11 | 1,623 RV | ±2.4% |
Rutgers University[167] | May 31 – June 4, 2012 | Barack Obama | 56% | Mitt Romney | 33% | 23 | 1,065 RV | ±2.9% |
Quinnipiac University[168] | May 9–14, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 39% | 10 | 1,582 | ±2.5% |
Fairleigh Dickinson University (PublicMind)[169] | April 30 – May 6, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 36% | 14 | 797 RV | ±3.5% |
Quinnipiac University[170] | April 3–9, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 40% | 9 | 1,607 RV | ±2.4% |
51% | Rick Santorum | 36% | 15 | |||||
Quinnipiac University[171] | February 21–27, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 39% | 10 | 1,396 RV | ±2.6% |
55% | Newt Gingrich | 30% | 25 | |||||
52% | Rick Santorum | 34% | 18 | |||||
WABC-TV New York/SurveyUSA[172] | February 24–26, 2012 | Barack Obama | 52% | Mitt Romney | 38% | 14 | 533 RV | ±4.3% |
61% | Newt Gingrich | 27% | 34 | |||||
57% | Rick Santorum | 33% | 24 | |||||
56% | Ron Paul | 31% | 25 | |||||
Rutgers University[173] | February 9–11, 2012 | Barack Obama | 56% | Mitt Romney | 31% | 25 | 914 RV | ±3.3% |
Quinnipiac University[174] | January 10–16, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 38% | 10 | 1,460 RV | ±2.6% |
5 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 50%–49%
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–42%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[175] | August 21, 2012 | Barack Obama | 52% | Mitt Romney | 38% | 14 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Public Policy Polling[176] | July 13–16, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 5 | 724 RV | ±3.6% |
We Ask America[177] | July 9–10, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 40% | 11 | 1,295 LV | ±2.8% |
Patriot Majority/FM3 Research (D)[178] | May 16–21, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 35% | 13 | 502 RV | ±4.4% |
Public Policy Polling[179] | April 19–22, 2012 | Barack Obama | 54% | Mitt Romney | 40% | 14 | 526 RV | ±4.3% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[175] | April 3, 2012 | Barack Obama | 53% | Rick Santorum | 38% | 15 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
52% | Mitt Romney | 36% | 16 | |||||
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[175] | February 14, 2012 | Barack Obama | 55% | Rick Santorum | 37% | 18 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
55% | Mitt Romney | 36% | 19 |
Three way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling[176] | July 13–16, 2012 | Barack Obama | 42% | Mitt Romney | 38% | Gary Johnson | 13% | 4 | 724 | ±3.64% |
Public Policy Polling[180] | April 19–22, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 35% | Gary Johnson | 15% | 13 | 526 | ±4.3% |
29 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 58%–40%
(Democratic in 2008) 63%–36%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Siena College[181] | August 14–19, 2012 | Barack Obama | 62% | Mitt Romney | 33% | 29 | 671 LV | ±3.8% |
Siena College[182] | July 10–15, 2012 | Barack Obama | 61% | Mitt Romney | 34% | 27 | 758 RV | ±3.6% |
Siena College[183] | June 3–6, 2012 | Barack Obama | 59% | Mitt Romney | 35% | 24 | 807 RV | ±3.4% |
Quinnipiac University[184] | May 22–28, 2012 | Barack Obama | 56% | Mitt Romney | 31% | 25 | 1,504 RV | ±2.5% |
Siena College[183] | May 6–10, 2012 | Barack Obama | 57% | Mitt Romney | 37% | 20 | 766 RV | ±3.5% |
NY1/YNN/Marist College[185][permanent dead link] | April 10–12, 2012 | Barack Obama | 57% | Mitt Romney | 35% | 22 | 632 RV | ±4.0% |
Siena College[183] | April 1–4, 2012 | Barack Obama | 65% | Newt Gingrich | 29% | 36 | 808 RV | ±3.4% |
61% | Ron Paul | 31% | 30 | |||||
60% | Mitt Romney | 35% | 25 | |||||
62% | Rick Santorum | 23% | 39 | |||||
Quinnipiac University[186] | March 28 – April 2, 2012 | Barack Obama | 56% | Mitt Romney | 33% | 23 | 1,597 RV | ±2.5% |
59% | Rick Santorum | 30% | 29 | |||||
Siena College[187] | February 26–29, 2012 | Barack Obama | 60% | Mitt Romney | 34% | 26 | 808 RV | ±3.4% |
64% | Rick Santorum | 30% | 34 | |||||
62% | Ron Paul | 29% | 33 | |||||
66% | Newt Gingrich | 27% | 39 | |||||
Quinnipiac University[188] | February 8–13, 2012 | Barack Obama | 52% | Mitt Romney | 35% | 17 | 1,233 RV | ±2.8% |
57% | Newt Gingrich | 31% | 26 | |||||
53% | Rick Santorum | 35% | 18 |
15 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 56%–44%
(Democratic in 2008) 50%–49%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FOX 8/High Point University/SurveyUSA[189] | August 26–30, 2012 | Barack Obama | 43% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 3 | 543 RV | ±4.3% |
Elon University[190] | August 25–30, 2012 | Barack Obama | 43% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 4 | 1,089 LV | ±3% |
CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corporation[44] | August 22–26, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 48% | 1 | 766 LV | ±3.5% |
High Point University/SurveyUSA[191] | August 18–23, 2012 | Barack Obama | 43% | Mitt Romney | 43% | Tied | 540 RV | ±4.3% |
Public Policy Polling[192] | August 2–5, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 3 | 813 LV | ±3.4% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[193] | August 1, 2012 | Barack Obama | 44% | Mitt Romney | 49% | 5 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Civitas Institute/National Research (R)[194] | July 16–18, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 49% | 1 | 600 RV | ±4% |
Public Policy Polling[195] | July 5–8, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 1 | 775 RV | ±3.5% |
Project New America/Myers Research (D)[196] | July 1–8, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 49% | 1 | 500 LV | ±4.4% |
Civitas Institute/SurveyUSA[197] | June 29 – July 1, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 50% | 5 | 558 RV | ±4.2% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[198] | June 25, 2012 | Barack Obama | 44% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 3 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
NBC News/Marist College[199] | June 24–25, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 2 | 1,019 RV | ±3.1% |
Public Policy Polling[200] | June 7–10, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 48% | 2 | 810 RV | ±3.4% |
WRAL-TV Raleigh/SurveyUSA | May 18–21, 2012 | Barack Obama | 44% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 1 | 524 LV | ±4.4% |
Civitas Institute/National Research (R)[201] | May 19–20, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 2 | 600 RV | ±4% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[198] | May 14, 2012 | Barack Obama | 43% | Mitt Romney | 51% | 8 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Public Policy Polling[202] | May 10–13, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 1 | 666 RV | ±3.8% |
WRAL-TV Raleigh/Survey USA[203] | April 26–30, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 4 | 1,636 RV | ±2.5% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[198] | April 10, 2012 | Barack Obama | 44% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 2 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Public Policy Polling[204] | April 4–7, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Newt Gingrich | 41% | 10 | 975 RV | ±3.1% |
48% | Ron Paul | 43% | 5 | |||||
49% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 5 | |||||
50% | Rick Santorum | 44% | 6 | |||||
Public Policy Polling[205] | March 8–11, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Newt Gingrich | 42% | 9 | 804 RV | ±3.5% |
48% | Ron Paul | 41% | 7 | |||||
49% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 3 | |||||
49% | Rick Santorum | 44% | 5 | |||||
Public Policy Polling[206] | February 3–5, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Newt Gingrich | 45% | 5 | 1,052 RV | ±3.0% |
47% | Ron Paul | 41% | 6 | |||||
47% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 1 | |||||
48% | Rick Santorum | 46% | 2 | |||||
Civitas Institute/National Research (R)[207] | January 9–11, 2012 | Barack Obama | 39% | Mitt Romney | 48% | 9 | 300 RV | ±4.0% |
Public Policy Polling[208] | January 5–8, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 1 | 780 RV | ±3.5% |
49% | Newt Gingrich | 43% | 6 | |||||
47% | Ron Paul | 41% | 6 | |||||
49% | Rick Perry | 41% | 8 | |||||
Barack Obama | 46% | Rick Santorum | 46% | Tied |
Three way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling[202] | May 10–13, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 44% | Gary Johnson | 6% | 2 | 666 | ±3.8% |
3 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 63%–36%
(Republican in 2008) 53%–45%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
North Dakota Democratic-NPL State Party/DFM Research (D)[209] | July 24–26, 2012 | Barack Obama | 35% | Mitt Romney | 54% | 19 | 400 LV | ±4.9% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[210] | July 10–11, 2012 | Barack Obama | 36% | Mitt Romney | 51% | 15 | 400 | ±5.0% |
Mason-Dixon Polling & Research[211] | June 4–6, 2012 | Barack Obama | 39% | Mitt Romney | 52% | 13 | 625 RV | ±4.0% |
18 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 51%–49%
(Democratic in 2008) 52%–47%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Capitol Correspondent/Gravis Marketing[212] | August 27, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45.27% | Mitt Romney | 44.39% | 0.88 | 728 LV | ±3.8% |
Columbus Dispatch[213] | August 15–25, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 45% | Tied | 1,758 LV | ±2.1% |
CBS News/New York Times/Quinnipiac University[45] | August 21, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 6 | 1,253 LV | ±2.8% |
University of Cincinnati[214] | August 16–21, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 3 | 847 LV | ±3.4% |
Purple Strategies[28] | August 13–14, 2012 | Barack Obama | 44% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 2 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[215] | August 13, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 45% | Tied | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Public Policy Polling[216] | August 9–12, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 3 | 961 LV | ±3.2% |
Quinnipiac University[217] | July 24–30, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 6 | 1,193 LV | ±3.0% |
We Ask America[218] | July 24, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47.84% | Mitt Romney | 40.2% | 7.64 | 1,115 LV | ±3.0% |
Opportunity Ohio/Magellan Strategies (R)[219] | July 23–24, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 2 | 597 LV | ±4.01% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[215] | July 18, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 2 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Purple Strategies[52] | July 9–13, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 3 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
Priorities USA Action/Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group (D)[220] | June 25 – July 3, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 41% | 7 | 608 LV | ±4.0% |
Quinnipiac University[55] | June 19–25, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 38% | 9 | 1,237 RV | ±2.8% |
Public Policy Polling[221] | June 21–24, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 3 | 673 RV | ±3.8% |
Purple Strategies[57] | May 31 – June 5, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 48% | 3 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[215] | May 29, 2012 | Barack Obama | 44% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 2 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
NBC News/Marist College[60] | May 17–20, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 6 | 1,103RV | ±3.0% |
Quinnipiac University[222] | May 2–7, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 1 | 1,069 RV | ±3.0% |
Public Policy Polling[223] | May 3–6, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Ron Paul | 40% | 8 | 875 RV | ±3.3% |
50% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 7 | |||||
Quinnipiac University[62] | April 25 – May 1, 2012 | Barack Obama | 44% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 2 | 1,130 RV | ±2.9% |
Purple Strategies[63] | April 19–23, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 5 | Not reported | ±4.1% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[215] | April 18, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 4 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Fox News/Anderson Robbins/Shaw & Company[224] | April 15–17, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 39% | 6 | 606 RV | ±4.0% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[215] | March 26, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 40% | 8 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
47% | Rick Santorum | 41% | 6 | |||||
Quinnipiac University[66] | March 20–26, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 41% | 6 | 1,246 RV | ±2.8% |
47% | Rick Santorum | 40% | 7 | |||||
NBC News/Marist College[225] | February 29 – March 2, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 38% | 12 | 1573 RV | ±2.5% |
51% | Newt Gingrich | 36% | 15 | |||||
48% | Ron Paul | 38% | 10 | 1505 RV | ||||
50% | Rick Santorum | 36% | 14 | |||||
Fox News/Anderson Robbins/Shaw & Company[226] | February 11–13, 2012 | Barack Obama | 38% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 6 | 505 RV | ±4.5% |
Barack Obama | 43% | Newt Gingrich | 37% | 6 | ||||
Barack Obama | 40% | Rick Santorum | 43% | 3 | ||||
Barack Obama | 41% | Ron Paul | 42% | 1 | ||||
Quinnipiac University[227] | February 7–12, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Newt Gingrich | 38% | 12 | 1,421 RV | ±2.6% |
47% | Rick Santorum | 41% | 6 | |||||
46% | Ron Paul | 40% | 6 | |||||
46% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 2 | |||||
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[228] | February 8, 2012 | Barack Obama | 44% | Rick Santorum | 44% | Tied | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 41% | 4 | ||||
Public Policy Polling[229] | January 28–29, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Rick Santorum | 42% | 6 | 820 RV | ±3.4% |
51% | Newt Gingrich | 39% | 12 | |||||
48% | Ron Paul | 38% | 10 | |||||
49% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 7 | |||||
Quinnipiac University[230] | January 9–16, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Rick Santorum | 37% | 11 | 1,610 RV | ±2.4% |
52% | Newt Gingrich | 38% | 14 | |||||
48% | Ron Paul | 39% | 9 | |||||
44% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 2 |
7 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 65.6%–34.4%
(Republican in 2008) 65.7%–34.4%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SoonerPoll[231] | July 26 – August 14, 2012 | Barack Obama | 29% | Mitt Romney | 58% | 29 | 495 LV | ±4.4% |
SoonerPoll[232] | May 7–10, 2012 | Barack Obama | 27% | Mitt Romney | 62% | 35 | 504 LV | ±4.4% |
7 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 51%–47%
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–40%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PPP[233] | June 21–24, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 8 | 686 | ±3.7% |
Survey USA[234] | May 7–10, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 4 | 1,468 | ±2.6% |
Survey USA[235] | March 14–19, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 39% | 11 | 1,615 | ±2.5% |
54% | Newt Gingrich | 34% | 20 | |||||
49% | Rick Santorum | 40% | 9 | |||||
48% | Ron Paul | 39% | 9 |
20 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 51%–48%
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–44%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Philadelphia Inquirer/Global Strategy Group/National Research Inc.[236] | August 21–23, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 9 | 601 LV | ±4% |
Morning Call/Muhlenberg College[237] | August 20–22, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 40% | 9 | 422 LV | ±5% |
Franklin and Marshall College[238] | August 7–12, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 5 | 681 RV | ±3.8% |
Quinnipiac University[217] | July 24–30, 2012 | Barack Obama | 53% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 11 | 1,168 LV | ±3.0% |
Public Policy Polling[113] | July 21–23, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 6 | 758 RV | ±3.6% |
Republican State Committee of Pennsylvania/Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc. (R)[239] | July 19–23, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 3 | 800 LV | ±3.46% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[240] | July 18, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 4 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
We Ask America[177] | July 9–10, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 40% | 7 | 1,227 LV | ±2.8% |
Priorities USA Action/Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group (D)[220] | June 25 – July 3, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 40% | 9 | 608 LV | ±4.0% |
Quinnipiac University[55] | June 19–25, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 39% | 6 | 1,252 RV | ±2.8% |
Quinnipiac University[241] | June 5–10, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 40% | 6 | 997 RV | ±3.1% |
Franklin & Marshall College[242] | May 29 – June 4, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 36% | 12 | 412 RV | ±4.8% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[240] | May 21, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 41% | 6 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Public Policy Polling[243] | May 17–20, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 8 | 671 RV | ±3.8% |
Quinnipiac University[62] | April 25 – May 1, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 39% | 8 | 1,168 RV | ±2.9% |
Morning Call/Muhlenberg College[244] | March 23 – April 1, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 40% | 5 | 492 RV | ±5% |
Quinnipiac University[66] | March 20–26, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 3 | 1,232 RV | ±2.8% |
48% | Rick Santorum | 41% | 7 | |||||
Public Policy Polling[245] | March 8–11, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 7 | 689 RV | ±4.1% |
51% | Newt Gingrich | 39% | 12 | |||||
47% | Ron Paul | 41% | 6 | |||||
48% | Rick Santorum | 46% | 2 | |||||
Quinnipiac University[246] | March 7–11, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 40% | 6 | 1,256 RV | ±2.8% |
50% | Newt Gingrich | 37% | 13 | |||||
45% | Ron Paul | 40% | 5 | |||||
45% | Rick Santorum | 44% | 1 | |||||
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[240] | February 8–23, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 1 | 438 LV | ±4.5% |
46% | Rick Santorum | 40% | 6 | |||||
Muhlenberg College/Morning Call[247] | February 15–21, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 37% | 11 | 625 RV | ±4.0% |
49% | Rick Santorum | 41% | 8 | |||||
Franklin & Marshall College[248] | February 14–20, 2012 | Barack Obama | 41% | Mitt Romney | 33% | 8 | 592 RV | ±4.0% |
47% | Newt Gingrich | 31% | 16 | |||||
41% | Ron Paul | 28% | 13 | |||||
45% | Rick Santorum | 37% | 8 | |||||
Susquehanna Polling and Research[249] | February 2–6, 2012 | Barack Obama | 43% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 2 | 800 RV | ±3.46% |
Barack Obama | 47% | Rick Santorum | 43% | 4 |
9 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 58%–41%
(Republican in 2008) 54%–45%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Reuters/Ipsos[250] | January 10–13, 2012 | Barack Obama | 40% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 6 | 995 RV | ±3.4% |
3 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 60%–38%
(Republican in 2008) 53%–45%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Nielson Brothers Polling[251] | July 19–23, 2012 | Barack Obama | 43% | Mitt Romney | 49% | 6 | 546 LV | ±4.19% |
11 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 57%–43%
(Republican in 2008) 57%–42%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Vanderbilt University/Princeton Survey Research Associates International[252] | May 2–9, 2012 | Barack Obama | 40% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 7 | 826 RV | Not reported |
Middle Tennessee State University[253] | February 13–25, 2012 | Barack Obama | 40% | Newt Gingrich | 45% | 4 | 416 LV | ±4.0% |
41% | Ron Paul | 44% | 3 | |||||
41% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 6 | |||||
39% | Rick Santorum | 51% | 12 | |||||
Vanderbilt University/Princeton Survey Research Associates International[254] | February 16–22, 2012 | Barack Obama | 41% | Newt Gingrich | 38% | 3 | 1,508 RV | ±3% |
Barack Obama | 39% | Ron Paul | 40% | 1 | ||||
39% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 3 | |||||
38% | Rick Santorum | 42% | 4 |
38 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 61%–38%
(Republican in 2008) 55%–44%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
University of Texas/Texas Tribune/YouGov[255] | May 7–13, 2012 | Barack Obama | 35% | Mitt Romney | 55% | 20 | 511 | ±4.34% |
Public Policy Polling[256] | April 19–22, 2012 | Barack Obama | 43% | Mitt Romney | 50% | 7 | 591 RV | ±4.0% |
45% | Newt Gingrich | 47% | 2 | |||||
43% | Ron Paul | 47% | 4 | |||||
University of Texas/Texas Tribune/YouGov[257] | February 8–15, 2012 | Barack Obama | 38% | Newt Gingrich | 49% | 11 | 527 LV | ±4.27% |
36% | Mitt Romney | 49% | 13 | 529 LV | ±4.26% | |||
37% | Rick Santorum | 51% | 14 | |||||
35% | Ron Paul | 44% | 9 | |||||
Public Policy Polling[258] | January 12–15, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Newt Gingrich | 45% | 2 | 700 RV | ±3.7% |
Barack Obama | 40% | Ron Paul | 46% | 6 | ||||
47% | Rick Perry | 48% | 1 | |||||
42% | Mitt Romney | 49% | 7 | |||||
42% | Rick Santorum | 49% | 7 |
Three way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Other candidates | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling[258] | January 12–15, 2012 | Barack Obama | 39% | Mitt Romney | 47% | Gary Johnson | 7% | 8 | 700 RV | ±3.7% |
Barack Obama | 38% | Mitt Romney | 40% | Ron Paul* | 17% | 2 |
- – Ron Paul was running as a Republican candidate.
6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 72%–26%
(Republican in 2008) 62%–34%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Deseret News/KSL-TV/Dan Jones & Associates[259] | June 21, 2012 | Barack Obama | 26% | Mitt Romney | 68% | 42 | 1,222 RV | ±2.8% |
3 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 59%–39%
(Democratic in 2008) 67%–30%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Castleton University[260] | August 11–21, 2012 | Barack Obama | 62% | Mitt Romney | 25% | 37 | 477 RV | ±4.5% |
WDEV/WCAX/Vermont Business Magazine/Castleton University[261] | May 7–16, 2012 | Barack Obama | 59.3% | Mitt Romney | 27.5% | 31.8 | 607 RV | ±4.0% |
Castleton University[262] | February 11–22, 2012 | Barack Obama | 57% | Mitt Romney | 31% | 26 | 800 RV | ±3.5% |
59% | Rick Santorum | 30% | 29 | |||||
58% | Ron Paul | 28% | 30 |
13 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 54%–46%
(Democratic in 2008) 53%–46%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[263] | August 23, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 47% | Tied | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Public Policy Polling[264] | August 16–19, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 5 | 855 LV | ±3.4% |
Purple Strategies[28] | August 13–14, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 48% | 3 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[265] | August 7, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 2 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
CBS News/New York Times/Quinnipiac University[266] | July 31 – August 6, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 4 | 1,412 LV | ±2.6% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[265] | July 16–17, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 1 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Quinnipiac University[267] | July 10–16, 2012 | Barack Obama | 44% | Mitt Romney | 44% | Tied | 1,673 RV | ±2.4% |
Purple Strategies[52] | July 9–13, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 2 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
Public Policy Polling[195] | July 5–8, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 8 | 647 RV | ±3.9% |
Priorities USA Action/Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group[32] | June 25 – July 3, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 3 | 608 LV | ±4% |
We Ask America[33] | June 25, 2012 | Barack Obama | 43.3% | Mitt Romney | 48.0% | 4.7 | 1,106 LV | ±2.95% |
Virginian Pilot/Old Dominion University[268] | May 16 – June 15, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 7 | 776 RV | ±3.5% |
Purple Strategies[57] | May 31 – June 5, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 3 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
Quinnipiac University[269] | May 30 – June 4, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 5 | 1,282 RV | ±2.7% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[265] | June 3, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 47% | Tied | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
NBC News/Marist College[270] | May 17–20, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 4 | 1,076 RV | ±3.0% |
Washington Post[271] | April 28 – May 2, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 7 | 964 RV | ±4% |
Public Policy Polling[272] | April 26–29, 2012 | Barack Obama | 53% | Newt Gingrich | 37% | 16 | 680 RV | ±3.8% |
50% | Ron Paul | 39% | 11 | |||||
51% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 8 | |||||
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[265] | April 23, 2012 | Barack Obama | 44% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 1 | 500 LV | ±4.5 |
Purple Strategies[63] | April 19–23, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 2 | Not reported | ±4.1% |
Roanoke College[273] | March 26 – April 5, 2012 | Barack Obama | 40% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 6 | 603 A | ±4% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[274] | March 20, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 9 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Quinnipiac University[275] | March 13–18, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 8 | 1,034 RV | ±3.1% |
54% | Newt Gingrich | 35% | 19 | |||||
49% | Rick Santorum | 40% | 9 | |||||
49% | Ron Paul | 39% | 10 | |||||
NBC News/Marist College[276] | February 29 – March 2, 2012 | Barack Obama | 52% | Mitt Romney | 35% | 17 | 1,273 RV | ±2.8% |
57% | Newt Gingrich | 31% | 26 | |||||
54% | Rick Santorum | 32% | 22 | 1,245 RV | ||||
53% | Ron Paul | 32% | 21 | |||||
Roanoke College[277] | February 13–26, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Newt Gingrich | 37% | 11 | 607 A | ±4% |
45% | Rick Santorum | 39% | 6 | |||||
45% | Ron Paul | 35% | 10 | |||||
Barack Obama | 42% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 1 | ||||
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[265] | February 21, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 6 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
51% | Rick Santorum | 43% | 8 | |||||
Richmond Times-Dispatch/Muhlenberg College/Christopher Newport University[278] | February 4–13, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Newt Gingrich | 40% | 5 | 1,018 RV | ±3.1% |
Barack Obama | 43% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 2 | ||||
Barack Obama | 42% | Rick Santorum | 46% | 4 | ||||
Barack Obama | 43% | Ron Paul | 43% | Tie | ||||
Quinnipiac University[279] | February 1–6, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 4 | 1,544 RV | ±2.5% |
51% | Newt Gingrich | 37% | 14 | |||||
49% | Rick Santorum | 41% | 8 | |||||
47% | Ron Paul | 40% | 7 | |||||
Mason-Dixon Polling & Research[280] | January 16–18, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 1 | 625 RV | ±3.9% |
49% | Newt Gingrich | 38% | 11 |
Three way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Constitution Party | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling[195] | July 5–8, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 35% | Virgil Goode | 9% | 14 | 647 | ±3.9% |
Public Policy Polling[272] | April 26–29, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 38% | Virgil Goode | 5% | 12 | 680 | ±3.8% |
12 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 53%–46%
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–40%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Moore Information[281] | August 6–7, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 36% | 10 | 500 LV | ±4% |
KING-TV Seattle/SurveyUSA[282] | August 2–3, 2012 | Barack Obama | 54% | Mitt Romney | 37% | 17 | 524 LV | ±4.4% |
KING-TV Seattle/SurveyUSA | July 16–18, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 37% | 9 | 630 RV | ±4% |
Public Policy Polling[283] | June 14–17, 2012 | Barack Obama | 54% | Mitt Romney | 41% | 13 | 1,073 RV | ±3.0% |
Elway Research[284] | June 13–16, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 41% | 8 | 408 RV | ±5% |
KING-TV Seattle/SurveyUSA[285] | May 8–9, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 36% | 14 | 557 RV | ±4.2% |
Public Policy Polling[286] | February 16–19, 2012 | Barack Obama | 55% | Newt Gingrich | 35% | 20 | 1,264 RV | ±2.76% |
53% | Mitt Romney | 38% | 15 | |||||
51% | Ron Paul | 38% | 13 | |||||
52% | Rick Santorum | 40% | 12 | |||||
KING-TV Seattle/SurveyUSA[287] | February 13–15, 2012 | Barack Obama | 56% | Newt Gingrich | 34% | 22 | 572 RV | ±4.2% |
50% | Mitt Romney | 39% | 11 | |||||
50% | Ron Paul | 37% | 13 | |||||
51% | Rick Santorum | 38% | 13 |
5 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 56%–43%
(Republican in 2008) 56%–43%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
R.L. Repass & Partners[288] | August 22–25, 2012 | Barack Obama | 38% | Mitt Romney | 52% | 14 | 401 LV | ±4.9% |
R.L. Repass & Partners[289] | April 25–28, 2012 | Barack Obama | 37% | Mitt Romney | 54% | 17 | 410 RV | ±4.8% |
10 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 50%–49%
(Democratic in 2008) 56%–42%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CBS News/New York Times/Quinnipiac University[45] | August 15–21, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 2 | 1,190 LV | ±3% |
Marquette Law School[290] | August 16–19, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 3 | 576 LV | ±4.2% |
Public Policy Polling[291] | August 16–19, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 48% | 1 | 1,308 LV | ±2.7% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[292] | August 15, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 48% | 1 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
CNN/Opinion Research Corporation[293] | August 13–14, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 4 | 920 RV | ±3.0% |
CBS News/New York Times/Quinnipiac University[266] | July 31 – August 6, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 6 | 1,428 | ±2.6% |
Marquette Law School[294] | August 2–5, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 5 | 1,188 LV | ±2.9% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[292] | July 25, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 3 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
We Ask America[151] | July 17–18, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 7 | 1,162 LV | ±2.93% |
Marquette Law School[295] | July 5–8, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 8 | 810 LV | ±3.5% |
Public Policy Polling[296] | July 5–8, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 6 | 1,057 LV | ±3.3% |
Marquette Law School[297] | June 13–16, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 6 | 594 LV | ±4.1% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[292] | June 12, 2012 | Barack Obama | 44% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 3 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
We Ask America[298] | June 3, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 5 | 1,275 LV | ±2.75% |
Marquette Law School[299] | May 23–26, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 8 | 600 LV | ±4% |
St. Norbert College[300] | May 17–22, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 6 | 406 LV | ±5.0% |
Daily Kos/Public Policy Polling[301] | May 11–13, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 1 | 851 RV | ±3.4% |
Marquette Law School[302] | May 9–12, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 46% | Tied | 600 LV | ±4.1% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[292] | May 9, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 4 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Marquette Law School[303] | April 26–29, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 9 | 705 RV | ±3.8% |
Daily Kos/Public Policy Polling[304] | April 13–15, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 6 | 1,136 RV | ±2.9% |
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[292] | March 27, 2012 | Barack Obama | 56% | Newt Gingrich | 31% | 25 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
52% | Mitt Romney | 41% | 11 | |||||
NBC News/Marist College[305] | March 22–27, 2012 | Barack Obama | 52% | Mitt Romney | 35% | 17 | 1,391 RV | ±2.6% |
51% | Rick Santorum | 38% | 13 | |||||
51% | Rick Santorum | 39% | 12 | 1,400 RV | ||||
51% | Ron Paul | 36% | 15 | |||||
Marquette Law School[306] | March 22–25, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 5 | 707 RV | ±3.7% |
51% | Rick Santorum | 39% | 12 | |||||
53% | Newt Gingrich | 36% | 17 | |||||
50% | Ron Paul | 40% | 10 | |||||
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[292] | February 27, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 5 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
46% | Rick Santorum | 41% | 5 | |||||
Public Policy Polling[307] | February 23–26, 2012 | Barack Obama | 55% | Newt Gingrich | 37% | 18 | 900 RV | ±3.27% |
53% | Ron Paul | 37% | 16 | |||||
53% | Mitt Romney | 39% | 14 | |||||
49% | Rick Santorum | 43% | 6 | |||||
Marquette Law School[308] | February 16–19, 2012 | Barack Obama | 53% | Mitt Romney | 38% | 15 | 716 RV | ±3.7% |
51% | Rick Santorum | 40% | 11 | |||||
56% | Newt Gingrich | 33% | 23 | |||||
52% | Ron Paul | 36% | 16 | |||||
Marquette Law School[309] | January 19–22, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 40% | 8 | 701 RV | ±3.8% |
Three way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Reason-Rupe[310] | May 14–18, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 36% | Gary Johnson | 6% | 10 | 708 | ±3.7% |
See also
- Statewide opinion polling for the 2012 United States presidential election
- Pre-2012 statewide opinion polling for the 2012 United States presidential election
- Nationwide opinion polling for the 2012 United States presidential election
- Nationwide opinion polling for the 2012 Republican Party presidential primaries
- Statewide opinion polling for the 2012 Republican Party presidential primaries
- Statewide opinion polling for the 2008 United States presidential election
- 2012 Republican Party presidential primaries
Notes
- ^ "Capital Survey Research Center" (PDF). Archived from the original (PDF) on November 14, 2012.
- ^ gtalbot@al.com, George Talbot | (July 2, 2012). "Romney leads Obama in Alabama poll, but voters question his Mormon faith (Political Skinny)". al.
{{cite web}}
: CS1 maint: extra punctuation (link) CS1 maint: multiple names: authors list (link) CS1 maint: numeric names: authors list (link) - ^ "2012 Arizona: Romney vs. Obama | RealClearPolling". www.realclearpolling.com.
- ^ a b "Election 2012: Arizona President". www.rasmussenreports.com.
- ^ "Project New America/Public Policy Polling (D)" (PDF). Archived from the original (PDF) on August 28, 2012.
- ^ "Public Policy Polling" (PDF).
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- ^ "Behavior Research Center (Rocky Mountain Poll" (PDF).
- ^ "Poll: Obama/Romney race a toss-up in Arizona". TucsonSentinel.com.
- ^ a b "First Read - NBC poll: Romney, Santorum deadlocked in Michigan; Romney leads in Arizona". February 22, 2012. Archived from the original on February 22, 2012.
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- ^ "Public Policy Polling". Archived from the original on March 26, 2019. Retrieved June 22, 2022.
{{cite web}}
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- ^ a b c "Election 2012: Massachusetts President". www.rasmussenreports.com.
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- ^ "Public Policy Polling" (PDF).
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- ^ "EPIC-MRA".
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- ^ "EXCLUSIVE POLL: Obama back in front, Hoekstra holds big lead on Durant". January 14, 2013. Archived from the original on January 14, 2013.
- ^ "Mitchell Research & Communications".
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{{cite web}}
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