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| Elections in New Mexico |
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The 2024 United States Senate election in New Mexico will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of New Mexico. Incumbent two-term Democratic Senator Martin Heinrich was re-elected with 54.1% of the vote in a three-way race in 2018, and is running for a third term.[1] Primary elections took place on June 4, 2024.[2]
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Martin Heinrich, incumbent U.S. senator[1]
Endorsements
Martin Heinrich
- Organizations
- 314 Action[3]
- Feminist Majority PAC[4]
- Humane Society Legislative Fund[5]
- Jewish Democratic Council of America[6]
- Joint Action Committee for Political Affairs[7]
- J Street PAC[8]
- League of Conservation Voters[9]
- Natural Resources Defense Council[10]
- Planned Parenthood Action Fund[11]
- Population Connection Action Fund[12]
Fundraising
| Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2024 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Martin Heinrich (D) | $8,441,938 | $4,785,305 | $4,311,607 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[13] | |||
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Martin Heinrich (incumbent) | 121,903 | 100.0% | |
| Total votes | 121,903 | 100.0% | ||
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Nella Domenici, former CFO of Bridgewater Associates and daughter of former U.S. Senator Pete Domenici[15]
Disqualified
- Manuel Gonzales III, former Democratic Bernalillo County Sheriff (2014–2022) and candidate for mayor of Albuquerque in 2021[16]
Endorsements
Nella Domenici
- Organizations
Fundraising
| Campaign finance reports as of April 15, 2024 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Nella Domenici (R) | $1,121,111[a] | $192,347 | $928,764 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[13] | |||
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Nella Domenici | 79,525 | 100.0% | |
| Total votes | 79,525 | 100.0% | ||
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[18] | Solid D | November 9, 2023 |
| Inside Elections[19] | Solid D | November 9, 2023 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[20] | Safe D | November 9, 2023 |
| Decision Desk HQ/The Hill[21] | Safe D | June 8, 2024 |
| Elections Daily[22] | Safe D | May 4, 2023 |
| CNalysis[23] | Solid D | November 21, 2023 |
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Martin Heinrich (D) |
Nella Domenici (R) |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Red Oak Strategic[A] | May 7–19, 2024 | 1,800 (LV) | ± 2.3% | 41% | 38% | 21% |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Martin Heinrich (incumbent) | ||||
| Republican | Nella Domenici | ||||
| Total votes | |||||
Notes
- Partisan clients
- ^ Poll commissioned by the National Republican Senatorial Committee, which supports Domenici
References
- ^ a b Boetel, Ryan (May 4, 2023). "Heinrich announces re-election campaign". Albuquerque Journal. Retrieved May 4, 2023.
- ^ "2024 State Primary Election Dates". www.ncsl.org. Retrieved August 6, 2023.
- ^ "314 Action Fund Endorses New Mexico Senator Martin Heinrich for re-election". 314 Action.
- ^ "2024 – Feminist Majority PAC". feministmajoritypac.org. Retrieved February 9, 2024.
- ^ "2024 Endorsements". 2024 Endorsements. Retrieved February 16, 2024.
- ^ "Jewish Dems: President Biden Stands with Israel". Jewish Democratic Council of America. Retrieved May 10, 2024.
- ^ "Meet JAC's 2024 Candidates | Joint Action Committee for Political Affairs". jacpac.org. Archived from the original on September 1, 2023. Retrieved September 1, 2023.
- ^ "Martin Heinrich". JStreetPAC. October 16, 2023. Retrieved August 26, 2023.
- ^ "LCV Action Fund Announces First Round of Congressional Endorsements". League of Conservation Voters. Retrieved July 27, 2023.
- ^ Dison, Denis (September 20, 2023). "NRDC Action Fund Endorses 51 House, Senate Incumbents". NRDC Action Fund. Retrieved September 20, 2023.
- ^ "2024 Planned Parenthood Action Fund Endorsed Candidates". Planned Parenthood Action Fund. Retrieved November 6, 2023.
- ^ "2024 Endorsements". Population Connection Action Fund. Retrieved August 25, 2023.
- ^ a b "2024 Election United States Senate - New Mexico". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission. Retrieved August 11, 2023.
- ^ a b "New Mexico Secretary of State". electionresults.sos.nm.gov. Retrieved June 12, 2024.
- ^ Mutnick, Ally (January 16, 2023). "Daughter of former GOP senator launches Senate run in New Mexico". Politico. Retrieved January 17, 2024.
- ^ Cook, Cathy (February 13, 2024). "Former Bernalillo County sheriff disqualified from Senate race". Albuquerque Journal. Retrieved February 14, 2024.
- ^ Ross, Alex (January 21, 2024). "Domenici nets signatures needed for primary ballot". Roswell Daily Record. Retrieved January 26, 2024.
- ^ "2024 Senate Race ratings". Cook Political Report. Retrieved January 25, 2023.
- ^ "Senate Ratings". Inside Elections. January 6, 2023. Retrieved January 10, 2023.
- ^ "2024 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. January 24, 2023. Retrieved February 13, 2023.
- ^ "2024 Senate prediction map". elections2024.thehill.com/. The Hill. June 8, 2024. Retrieved June 8, 2024.
- ^ "Election Ratings". Elections Daily. August 1, 2023. Retrieved August 2, 2023.
- ^ "'24 Senate Forecast". CNalysis. Retrieved November 21, 2023.
External links
- Official campaign websites
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