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DescriptionDeforestation and world population sustainability - a quantitative analysis.pdf |
English: In this paper we afford a quantitative analysis of the sustainability of current world population growth in relation to the parallel deforestation process adopting a statistical point of view. We consider a simplified model based on a stochastic growth process driven by a continuous time random walk, which depicts the technological evolution of human kind, in conjunction with a deterministic generalised logistic model for humans-forest interaction and we evaluate the probability of avoiding the self-destruction of our civilisation. Based on the current resource consumption rates and best estimate of technological rate growth our study shows that we have very low probability, less than 10% in most optimistic estimate, to survive without facing a catastrophic collapse. |
Date | |
Source | https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-020-63657-6 |
Author | Mauro Bologna & Gerardo Aquino |
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Short title | Deforestation and world population sustainability: a quantitative analysis |
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Image title | Scientific Reports, doi:10.1038/s41598-020-63657-6 |
Author | Mauro Bologna |
Software used | Springer |
Conversion program | iText® 5.3.5 ©2000-2012 1T3XT BVBA (SPRINGER SBM; licensed version) |
Encrypted | no |
Page size | 595.276 x 782.362 pts |
Version of PDF format | 1.4 |
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deforestation
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Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International
inception
6 May 2020
Categories
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Annuals36
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Bulbs, Corms & Tubers41
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Ferns27
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Fruits3
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Garden Plants23
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Grasses26
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Herb17
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Insects1
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Mammals1
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Midwest Native Plants0
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Northeast Native Plants112
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Perennials123
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Rose1
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Shrubs47
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Trees112
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Tropical Plants53
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Upland Birds5
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Vines18
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Viola Tricolor1
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Water Gardening & Plants9
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Waterfowl0
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Wetland Birds0
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Wetland Plants4
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Wildbirds172
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Wildflowers1
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Woodland Plants29
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